News/Op-Eds John Cochrane News/Op-Eds John Cochrane

Understanding the left

“Understanding the Left.” What’s going on with the Great Awakening? Understand it as that, a quasi-religious political movement. Click title for more info.

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“Understanding the Left.” February 2020. In From the Past to the Future: Ideas and Actions for a Free Society, John Taylor, Ed. Hoover Press, Ch. 18. What’s going on with the Great Awakening? Understand it as that, a quasi-religious political movement. This was before the whole movement turned to race a few months later, but the analysis still holds, and may be better for not touching that issue. Talk given at the Mt. Pelerin Society Jan 1 2020.

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News/Op-Eds John Cochrane News/Op-Eds John Cochrane

A debt crisis is on the horizon

Washington Post. Debt and deficits are a danger. Rising interest rates could spark big trouble quickly. Reforming entitlements is the answer, and sooner better than later. Written with Mike Boskin, John Cogan, George Shultz, and John Taylor. Local copy (pdf).

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Washington Post. Debt and deficits are a danger. Rising interest rates could spark big trouble quickly. Reforming entitlements is the answer, and sooner better than later. Written with Mike Boskin, John Cogan, George Shultz, and John Taylor. Local copy (pdf).

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News/Op-Eds John Cochrane News/Op-Eds John Cochrane

Eight Heresies of Monetary Policy

1) The Fed has not been holding interest rates down. 2) QE did basically nothing. 3) The Fed is not stoking asset price bubbles. 4) The Fed has little control over real rates 5) The economy is stable 6) Interest rates only temporarily lower inflation. 7) The Phillips curve is dead 8) Long-term fiscal policy, not Fed mistakes, pose the greatest danger to inflation. Slides.

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1) The Fed has not been holding interest rates down. 2) QE did basically nothing. 3) The Fed is not stoking asset price bubbles. 4) The Fed has little control over real rates 5) The economy is stable 6) Interest rates only temporarily lower inflation. 7) The Phillips curve is dead 8) Long-term fiscal policy, not Fed mistakes, pose the greatest danger to inflation. Slides.

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News/Op-Eds John Cochrane News/Op-Eds John Cochrane

Law and the Regulatory State

In Thomas W. Gilligan, Ed., American Exceptionalism in a New Era, Hoover Institution Press, p. 57-70. Exceptionalism interpreted as the rule of law guaranteeing economic freedom. In peril, as always.

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In Thomas W. Gilligan, Ed., American Exceptionalism in a New Era, Hoover Institution Press, p. 57-70. Exceptionalism interpreted as the rule of law guaranteeing economic freedom. In peril, as always.

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News/Op-Eds John Cochrane News/Op-Eds John Cochrane

Growing Risks to the Budget and the Economy

Testimony to House Budget Committee, Sept 14 2016. Economic growth is the big problem; bi-partisan policies to fix it rather than keep yelling the same talking points louder. On debt, the small probability of a debt crisis is the big problem, and how to avoid it. Oral remarks much shorter, sweeter (I get 5 minutes) but less documented.

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Testimony to House Budget Committee, Sept 14 2016. Economic growth is the big problem; bi-partisan policies to fix it rather than keep yelling the same talking points louder. On debt, the small probability of a debt crisis is the big problem, and how to avoid it. Oral remarks much shorter, sweeter (I get 5 minutes) but less documented.

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News/Op-Eds Juliann Klein News/Op-Eds Juliann Klein

A Blueprint for Effective Financial Reform

Equity-financed banking. How it works, and substitutes for the Dodd-Frank illusion that regulators can keep us safe. This is the paper behind the talk, next item. In George P. Shultz, ed., Blueprint for America Hoover Institution Press, p. 71 - 84.

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Equity-financed banking. How it works, and substitutes for the Dodd-Frank illusion that regulators can keep us safe. This is the paper behind the talk, next item. In George P. Shultz, ed., Blueprint for America Hoover Institution Press, p. 71 - 84.

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