Inflation

March 24 2026 update. This is a short (80 page) booklet, resulting from the Karl Brunner lecture. It leans heavily on historical episodes, and pushes all the equations to footnotes. It summarizes fiscal theory, interpreting many episodes, and my subsequent efforts to find a theory in which higher interest rates lower inflation. Read the book>

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Inflation Dynamics with a Generalized Lucas Phillips Curve

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Central Bank Independence